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College Football Playoff Bubble Watch: Don’t Count Out Clemson Just Yet

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The Resurgence of Clemson Football: A Look Back and Forward

When examining the trajectory of the 2024 Clemson Tigers, it’s enlightening to reflect on the experiences of other programs, particularly Dan Lanning’s inaugural game at Oregon. The Ducks faced a staggering 46-point defeat against the eventual national champion Georgia in their 2022 season opener. This loss sent shockwaves through the college football landscape, causing Oregon to plummet from No. 11 to outside the rankings. Critics quickly dismissed the Ducks as a team built on preseason hype, and it seemed that quarterback Bo Nix’s career would falter in the Pacific Northwest.

However, Oregon rebounded spectacularly, winning their next eight games and climbing to No. 6 in the polls. They defeated three top-15 teams and, despite close losses to Washington and Oregon State, demonstrated that the initial overreaction to their opening loss was misguided. The Ducks proved that a single game does not define a season.

Clemson’s Opening Struggles

Fast forward to the present, and one might wonder if Clemson is experiencing a similar dynamic. The Tigers, under the leadership of head coach Dabo Swinney, saw their impressive streak of 12 consecutive seasons with double-digit wins come to an end last year. This season began with a disheartening 34-3 loss to Georgia, a game that many viewed as a clear indication of Clemson’s decline. Critics pointed to this defeat as evidence that the Tigers were still a formidable team within the ACC but were far from competing at the highest level of college football.

A Turning Point for the Tigers?

Despite the rocky start, Clemson currently sits at No. 17 in the AP poll, raising the question: could they be on the verge of a resurgence similar to Oregon’s? In the new 12-team College Football Playoff era, it would be unwise to overlook Clemson, especially given their potential for a turnaround.

The Tigers’ offense, which struggled to find its rhythm over the past few seasons, has suddenly come alive under the guidance of second-year offensive coordinator Garrett Riley and quarterback Cade Klubnik. In the two games following their loss to Georgia, Clemson’s offense has looked rejuvenated, creative, and explosive. Running back Phil Mafah has been particularly impressive, averaging an astounding 13.2 yards per carry. Klubnik has also found his footing, showcasing his dual-threat capabilities with a 55-yard touchdown run against NC State and completing 80 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns over the last two games. The Tigers dominated Appalachian State, leading 56-13 at halftime, and similarly overwhelmed NC State, leading 59-14 after three quarters.

Caution in Assessing Performance

While these performances are promising, it’s essential to approach them with caution. Both App State and NC State currently hold a combined record of 4-4, and upcoming matchups against ranked opponents like No. 15 Louisville and Pitt will provide a clearer picture of Clemson’s capabilities. Notably, the Tigers will not face No. 7 Miami during the regular season, which could impact their playoff aspirations.

A Shift in Perception

Clemson’s recent performances are forcing observers to reassess their outlook on the team. Clinging to the memory of Georgia’s dominance over the Tigers may lead to an underestimation of their potential. Dabo Swinney appears to be coaching a team that is not only capable of competing but may also be on a trajectory toward the College Football Playoff, thanks to an offense that seems to be awakening and a five-star quarterback who is starting to hit his stride.

The ACC Landscape

The resurgence of Clemson is also revitalizing the ACC’s reputation as a conference capable of producing multiple playoff contenders. Miami’s explosive second half against USF, where they outscored their opponent 28-0 to secure a 50-15 victory, adds to the narrative that the ACC is more competitive than previously thought. Louisville, while still an unknown quantity, has shown promise by defeating Georgia Tech, and Pitt’s rebuilt offense has them sitting at 4-0.

National Context and Future Outlook

In the broader context of college football, teams like Ohio State and Oregon have emerged as clear playoff contenders, while Penn State faces a critical test against Illinois. Michigan and USC, though slightly behind, are also in the mix, and the Big Ten is shaping up to be a competitive landscape.

Meanwhile, the Big 12 is witnessing a shake-up, with Utah’s resilience despite missing key players and Iowa State remaining undefeated. The SEC continues to dominate the conversation, with Alabama and Georgia leading the charge, while Group of 5 teams are scrambling to maintain their footing after unexpected losses.

The Road Ahead for Clemson

As the season progresses, Clemson’s ability to navigate the challenges ahead will determine their playoff fate. The Tigers are at a crossroads, and their recent performances suggest they may be on the brink of a significant turnaround. With a potent offense and a determined coaching staff, Clemson is poised to make a statement in the 2024 season, reminding everyone that a single game does not define a team’s potential.

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