The New Landscape of College Football Playoff Contention
EUGENE, Ore. — In the aftermath of Oregon’s thrilling 32-31 victory over No. 2 Ohio State, head coach Dan Lanning made a crucial point during his postgame news conference: while the game was monumental, it was not the definitive end of the road for either team. With the College Football Playoff expanding to 12 teams this season, the stakes have shifted dramatically.
Lanning emphasized this perspective before the game, reminding his players that regardless of the outcome, opportunities still lay ahead. “Regardless of result, everything is still on the table for both teams,” he stated, highlighting a new reality in college football where a single loss does not spell doom.
The Expanded Playoff Format
This year’s playoff format introduces an additional eight teams, allowing for a more inclusive approach. The 12-team structure consists of five automatic qualifiers for the highest-ranked conference champions, with the top four receiving a bye. The remaining seven spots are filled by at-large teams, creating a landscape where teams with one, two, or even three losses can still vie for a playoff berth.
As the season progresses, 11 undefeated teams remain, including several Group of Five (G5) programs like Army, Navy, and Liberty. However, the focus here is on the power conference teams that, despite setbacks, are still very much in the playoff conversation.
Teams Still in Contention
Clemson Tigers
- Losses: 1 (vs. Georgia, 34-3)
- Remaining Schedule: One ranked opponent (at Pitt).
- Outlook: Clemson has been dominant since their loss, outscoring opponents by an average of over 30 points in their last five games. With a favorable schedule ahead, they are well-positioned for a strong finish.
Ohio State Buckeyes
- Losses: 1 (at Oregon, 32-31)
- Remaining Schedule: Tough stretch including games against Penn State, Nebraska, Indiana, and Michigan.
- Outlook: Despite the loss, Ohio State’s talent pool remains deep. Their performance in a hostile environment at Autzen Stadium showcased their potential, although injuries could impact their journey.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Losses: 1 (vs. Northern Illinois)
- Remaining Schedule: Includes games against unbeaten Navy and Army, plus a challenging matchup at Georgia Tech.
- Outlook: With a strong defense ranked 11th nationally, Notre Dame has the tools to compete. However, their loss to Northern Illinois may haunt them if the playoff race tightens.
Georgia Bulldogs
- Losses: 1 (at Alabama, 41-34)
- Remaining Schedule: A challenging slate featuring three top-25 teams.
- Outlook: Georgia’s tough schedule could work in their favor, allowing them to prove themselves against quality opponents. A second loss might still keep them in contention if it’s against a strong team.
Texas A&M Aggies
- Losses: 1 (vs. Notre Dame, 23-13)
- Remaining Schedule: Key games against LSU and Texas.
- Outlook: If A&M can navigate their remaining schedule and their losses come against playoff contenders, they could still secure a spot.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
- Losses: 1 (at Washington State, 37-16)
- Remaining Schedule: Favorable with four opponents at or below .500.
- Outlook: Texas Tech’s only loss being out of conference keeps them in the hunt, especially with a chance to win the Big 12.
LSU Tigers
- Losses: 1 (vs. USC, 27-20)
- Remaining Schedule: Two top-15 opponents in the next three weeks.
- Outlook: LSU’s resilience and offensive firepower could propel them forward, but they must avoid another loss to stay in the playoff picture.
SMU Mustangs
- Losses: 1 (vs. BYU, 18-15)
- Remaining Schedule: A mix of challenging and manageable games.
- Outlook: SMU’s only loss is close and against a ranked opponent, keeping their hopes alive as they control their destiny in the ACC.
Teams That May Need Help
Kansas State Wildcats
- Losses: 1 (at BYU, 38-9)
- Remaining Schedule: Tough matchups against West Virginia and Iowa State.
- Outlook: A strong finish could lead them to the Big 12 title game, but they need help from other teams.
Alabama Crimson Tide
- Losses: 1 (at Vanderbilt, 40-35)
- Remaining Schedule: A daunting stretch against four ranked teams.
- Outlook: Alabama’s talent can’t be overlooked, but they need to perform consistently to remain in playoff contention.
Missouri Tigers
- Losses: 1 (at Texas A&M, 41-10)
- Remaining Schedule: A pivotal game against Alabama.
- Outlook: Missouri’s path is challenging, but a strong performance against top teams could keep their hopes alive.
Tennessee Volunteers
- Losses: 1 (at Arkansas, 19-14)
- Remaining Schedule: Key games against Alabama and Georgia.
- Outlook: Tennessee has the talent to compete, but they must capitalize on their opportunities to secure a playoff spot.
The Unpredictable Nature of College Football
As the season unfolds, the landscape of college football continues to evolve. With the expanded playoff format, teams that once seemed out of contention can find themselves back in the race with a few key victories. The excitement of the season lies in its unpredictability, where every game can shift the balance of power and playoff aspirations.
In this new era, the mantra is clear: a single loss does not define a team’s destiny. As teams navigate the remainder of their schedules, the quest for a coveted playoff spot remains very much alive.